Addition 7/11/23.
Issues discussed:
Evened out military balance in the region and the risk of escalation going global are strong forces of de-escalation in the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Energy issues are creating forces of de-escalation, also locally.
Yet, there are indications of powerful forces pushing for an ‘illogical’ outcome.
We noted in the October Deprcon Outlook that I would be deepening my worst-case scenario in this entry, but this entry actually turned out to be an analysis on the factors that are pushing against this gruesome outcome.
When one begins to research a completely new, or a lesser known topic, you will never know where it actually leads. It was my original aim to continue to map the worst-case scenario, but the information it uncovered was such that it pointed to a diminished likelihood of such an end-of-the-world scenario. This naturally was something I needed to report to you, because it carries a message of hope for these dark times.
So, somewhat atypically, this post is not all doom-and-gloom, or one with me playing the Devil's advocate. Still, I urge you to check my two previous entries on the topic (this and this) before taking this one up