Tuomas Malinen on Geopolitics and the Economy

Wars

[Republication] Deprcon Warning

Iran-U.S. second go

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Tuomas Malinen
May 28, 2026
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Something happened today, which led us to issue a warning of the Iran-U.S. war continuing. As I have assessed the likelihood of the ceasefire continuing, I will republish our warning here.

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From GnS Economics Newsletter.

While the likelihood of the Iran-U.S. ceasefire lasting, according to Tuomas, currently stands at 60%, recent developments are indicative of the war restarting. Thus, we issue a warning of a second round in the Iran-U.S./Israel war commencing.

There are two (very) recent developments behind our warning.

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