I have been thinking later, that there are no paths for peace, whatsoever.
Nobody is engaging in a peace process.
In order for the war to end 2 things many have to happen.
-The EU will have to suffer a hard punch. We would be talking about something really bad and horrifying, that more than just messaging it would bring individual countries to run to get out before they can't do it anymore. This would break NATO but also the EU.
- The other option will be a world wild coalition that would form in order to avoid the first. A 3rd World (the non aligned) would place a ultimatum to the rich countries (EU, NATO, US, G7). Many were expecting it to happen during the G20, but it was unfortunately too soon. Putin's announcement he was not coming to Bali made it clear. But also made it clear that the western camp of the G20 was desperate to ask for favours. The non-western camp knows now how much power it holds.
Can Putin hold the war for Modi and Lula join forces against the collective west or will Putin feels itself so isolated he will take measures to bring things to the brink of destruction.
China plays here a major role. The west sinophobic rhetoric was working into bringing China not to support Russia. I believe things changed abruptly after the recent anti-covid protests in China, with clear western involvement. The Putin-Xi open phone call changed the all panorama. China is opening the game. To expect the communist China to maintain neutral was wishful thinking anyways.
Which one is better in war stuck in the mud, towed low-tech artillery pieces or vehicle integrated, self propelled hi-tech ones? Were combat troops stuck in the mud the logistics would be too.
In history, every item invented has been weaponized so far. Every weapon invented so far is used as long as more powerful or feasible one is invented. I'm afraid this is the case with nukes too.
I have been thinking later, that there are no paths for peace, whatsoever.
Nobody is engaging in a peace process.
In order for the war to end 2 things many have to happen.
-The EU will have to suffer a hard punch. We would be talking about something really bad and horrifying, that more than just messaging it would bring individual countries to run to get out before they can't do it anymore. This would break NATO but also the EU.
- The other option will be a world wild coalition that would form in order to avoid the first. A 3rd World (the non aligned) would place a ultimatum to the rich countries (EU, NATO, US, G7). Many were expecting it to happen during the G20, but it was unfortunately too soon. Putin's announcement he was not coming to Bali made it clear. But also made it clear that the western camp of the G20 was desperate to ask for favours. The non-western camp knows now how much power it holds.
Can Putin hold the war for Modi and Lula join forces against the collective west or will Putin feels itself so isolated he will take measures to bring things to the brink of destruction.
China plays here a major role. The west sinophobic rhetoric was working into bringing China not to support Russia. I believe things changed abruptly after the recent anti-covid protests in China, with clear western involvement. The Putin-Xi open phone call changed the all panorama. China is opening the game. To expect the communist China to maintain neutral was wishful thinking anyways.
A review of Zbig Brzeznewski book which turned out to be a roadmap for nato expansion up to Ukraine for the west: https://polsci.substack.com/p/the-great-chess-board
Which one is better in war stuck in the mud, towed low-tech artillery pieces or vehicle integrated, self propelled hi-tech ones? Were combat troops stuck in the mud the logistics would be too.
In history, every item invented has been weaponized so far. Every weapon invented so far is used as long as more powerful or feasible one is invented. I'm afraid this is the case with nukes too.
Echoes of Napoleon's continental system designed to crush Britain but look what happened next?
What doesn't kill you makes you stronger!