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Scenario Forecasting
An introduction to the mystery of probability
9 hrs ago
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Tuomas Malinen
3
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Scenario Forecasting
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Twilight in the Middle East
The worst-case scenario for Iran-Israel war
Apr 18
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Tuomas Malinen
6
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Twilight in the Middle East
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3
The Credit Recession
The non-recovery of the U.S. economy
Apr 11
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Tuomas Malinen
4
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The Credit Recession
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The Apocalypse Scenario IV
The geopolitics of chaos (free)
Apr 6
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Tuomas Malinen
18
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The Apocalypse Scenario IV
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March 2024
The Lost War
A short commentary to the Russo-Ukrainian war
Mar 23
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Tuomas Malinen
4
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The Lost War
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Bellwethers of a Fall
The 2024 edition
Mar 21
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Tuomas Malinen
6
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Bellwethers of a Fall
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The Sum of All Fears
A deranged NATO?
Mar 20
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Tuomas Malinen
4
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The Sum of All Fears
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1:32
The BTFP is dead
Long live the BTFP!
Mar 16
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Tuomas Malinen
3
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The BTFP is dead
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The Endgame, Part II
How the conflict in Ukraine ends
Mar 14
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Tuomas Malinen
9
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The Endgame, Part II
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On Powell, NYCB and U.S. regional banks
Good on the outside, bad on the inside
Mar 8
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Tuomas Malinen
3
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On Powell, NYCB and U.S. regional banks
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The Endgame, Part I
The Russo-Ukrainian war and geopolitics of Europe (Free)
Mar 2
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Tuomas Malinen
29
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The Endgame, Part I
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An Update to Global Liquidity
Massive dark liquidity flows
Mar 2
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Tuomas Malinen
5
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An Update to Global Liquidity
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